Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (NSE:KERNEX) As Its Stock Soars 26%

Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (NSE:KERNEX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Kernex Microsystems (India) is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 17.8x, considering almost half the companies in India's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 2.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Kernex Microsystems (India)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:KERNEX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 21st 2024
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What Does Kernex Microsystems (India)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Kernex Microsystems (India) as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kernex Microsystems (India), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Kernex Microsystems (India)'s Revenue Growth Trending?

Kernex Microsystems (India)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 43% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Kernex Microsystems (India)'s P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Kernex Microsystems (India)'s P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Kernex Microsystems (India)'s P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Kernex Microsystems (India) maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kernex Microsystems (India) you should be aware of, and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kernex Microsystems (India) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:KERNEX

Kernex Microsystems (India)

Engages in the manufacture and sale of safety systems and software services for railways in India and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.

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