Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At Ducon Infratechnologies (NSE:DUCON) Paint A Concerning Picture

NSEI:DUCON
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Ducon Infratechnologies (NSE:DUCON) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Ducon Infratechnologies:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = ₹146m ÷ (₹2.8b - ₹1.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Thus, Ducon Infratechnologies has an ROCE of 10%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 12% generated by the Software industry.

See our latest analysis for Ducon Infratechnologies

roce
NSEI:DUCON Return on Capital Employed November 9th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Ducon Infratechnologies' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Ducon Infratechnologies, check out these free graphs here.

The Trend Of ROCE

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Ducon Infratechnologies doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 21% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

Another thing to note, Ducon Infratechnologies has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 50%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

What We Can Learn From Ducon Infratechnologies' ROCE

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Ducon Infratechnologies' reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 46% in the last five years. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Ducon Infratechnologies does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

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Find out whether Ducon Infratechnologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.