Stock Analysis

Is V-Mart Retail (NSE:VMART) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:VMART
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, V-Mart Retail Limited (NSE:VMART) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for V-Mart Retail

What Is V-Mart Retail's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, V-Mart Retail had ₹1.72b of debt, up from ₹1.18b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹228.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹1.49b.

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NSEI:VMART Debt to Equity History December 21st 2023

How Healthy Is V-Mart Retail's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that V-Mart Retail had liabilities of ₹9.24b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹11.8b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹228.2m in cash and ₹4.00m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹20.8b.

V-Mart Retail has a market capitalization of ₹38.5b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine V-Mart Retail's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year V-Mart Retail wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 16%, to ₹26b. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, V-Mart Retail had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹152m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of ₹1.0b into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how V-Mart Retail's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.