It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Medicamen Organics Limited (NSE:MEDIORG)
Medicamen Organics Limited's (NSE:MEDIORG) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 53x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
The recent earnings growth at Medicamen Organics would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders may have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Medicamen Organics
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Medicamen Organics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 5.6% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 1,947% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Medicamen Organics is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Medicamen Organics currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Medicamen Organics is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those make us uncomfortable.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Medicamen Organics. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MEDIORG
Medicamen Organics
Develops, manufactures, and distributes a range of pharmaceutical dosage.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.
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