Stock Analysis

We Think Dishman Carbogen Amcis (NSE:DCAL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:DCAL
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Dishman Carbogen Amcis Limited (NSE:DCAL) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Dishman Carbogen Amcis

How Much Debt Does Dishman Carbogen Amcis Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2021, Dishman Carbogen Amcis had ₹15.9b of debt, up from ₹13.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹4.12b, its net debt is less, at about ₹11.8b.

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NSEI:DCAL Debt to Equity History August 24th 2021

A Look At Dishman Carbogen Amcis' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dishman Carbogen Amcis had liabilities of ₹12.5b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹13.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹4.12b in cash and ₹4.15b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹18.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹26.6b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dishman Carbogen Amcis' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Dishman Carbogen Amcis has net debt to EBITDA of 3.8 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. But the high interest coverage of 7.1 suggests it can easily service that debt. Importantly, Dishman Carbogen Amcis's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 52% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dishman Carbogen Amcis's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Dishman Carbogen Amcis recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Mulling over Dishman Carbogen Amcis's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Dishman Carbogen Amcis's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Dishman Carbogen Amcis has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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