David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, PVR Limited (NSE:PVR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for PVR
What Is PVR's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 PVR had ₹52.3b of debt, an increase on ₹15.0b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹6.80b, its net debt is less, at about ₹45.5b.
How Strong Is PVR's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that PVR had liabilities of ₹13.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹46.0b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹6.80b and ₹345.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹52.1b.
PVR has a market capitalization of ₹111.1b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PVR's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year PVR wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 31%, to ₹9.8b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
Even though PVR managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost ₹6.3b at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through ₹6.2b of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for PVR you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:PVRINOX
PVR INOX
A theatrical exhibition company, engages in the exhibition, distribution, and production of movies in India and Sri Lanka.
Good value with reasonable growth potential.