Stock Analysis

Is MPS (NSE:MPSLTD) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:MPSLTD
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MPS Limited (NSE:MPSLTD) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for MPS

What Is MPS's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MPS had debt of ₹119.8m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from ₹183.5m over a year. However, it does have ₹1.38b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₹1.26b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MPSLTD Debt to Equity History August 2nd 2022

A Look At MPS' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that MPS had liabilities of ₹1.09b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹204.2m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.38b and ₹1.45b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has ₹1.53b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that MPS has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, MPS boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Fortunately, MPS grew its EBIT by 9.1% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MPS can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While MPS has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, MPS actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that MPS has net cash of ₹1.26b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 100% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in ₹1.1b. So we don't think MPS's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for MPS that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MPS is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.