Stock Analysis

Affle (India) Limited (NSE:AFFLE) Released Earnings Last Week And Analysts Lifted Their Price Target To ₹1,539

NSEI:AFFLE
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Last week, you might have seen that Affle (India) Limited (NSE:AFFLE) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.2% to ₹1,434 in the past week. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of ₹5.2b and statutory earnings per share of ₹6.17 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Affle (India) is executing in line with expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Affle (India) after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Affle (India)

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NSEI:AFFLE Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2024

After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering Affle (India) are now predicting revenues of ₹22.6b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a notable 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to swell 18% to ₹26.74. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹22.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹26.66 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

The consensus price target rose 6.2% to ₹1,539despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Affle (India)'s earnings by assigning a price premium. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Affle (India), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹1,730 and the most bearish at ₹1,025 per share. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Affle (India)'s revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 21% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 38% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Affle (India) is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Affle (India) going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Affle (India) you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.