Stock Analysis

Is Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC (NSE:TIRUPATI) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:TIRUPATI
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC Limited (NSE:TIRUPATI) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC

What Is Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC had ₹557.8m of debt, an increase on ₹430.7m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:TIRUPATI Debt to Equity History March 4th 2023

How Strong Is Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC had liabilities of ₹428.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹189.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹5.12m in cash and ₹379.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹234.3m.

Given Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC has a market capitalization of ₹1.57b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC's debt is 4.2 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.3 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC grew its EBIT at 20% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example its EBIT growth rate was refreshing. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Shree Tirupati Balajee FIBC (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.