Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Saurashtra Cement Limited's (NSE:SAURASHCEM) Revenues Despite 27% Price Jump

NSEI:SAURASHCEM
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Saurashtra Cement Limited (NSE:SAURASHCEM) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Saurashtra Cement may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Basic Materials industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Saurashtra Cement

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SAURASHCEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 20th 2024

How Saurashtra Cement Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Saurashtra Cement as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Saurashtra Cement's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Saurashtra Cement's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Saurashtra Cement's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 101% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 186% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 12% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.

In light of this, it's quite peculiar that Saurashtra Cement's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.

The Bottom Line On Saurashtra Cement's P/S

Saurashtra Cement's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Upon analysing the past data, we see it is unexpected that Saurashtra Cement is currently trading at a lower P/S than the rest of the industry given that its revenue growth in the past three-year years is exceeding expectations in a challenging industry. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. Amidst challenging industry conditions, perhaps a key concern is whether the company can sustain its superior revenue growth trajectory. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Saurashtra Cement has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Saurashtra Cement's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saurashtra Cement is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.