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Steel Authority of India's (NSE:SAIL) Solid Earnings Have Been Accounted For Conservatively
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Steel Authority of India Limited (NSE:SAIL) despite the healthy numbers. Our analysis suggests that shareholders might be missing some positive underlying factors in the earnings report.
Examining Cashflow Against Steel Authority of India's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
For the year to September 2025, Steel Authority of India had an accrual ratio of -0.10. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹115b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of ₹25.6b. Notably, Steel Authority of India had negative free cash flow last year, so the ₹115b it produced this year was a welcome improvement.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Steel Authority of India's Profit Performance
Steel Authority of India's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Because of this, we think Steel Authority of India's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Steel Authority of India as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Steel Authority of India has 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Steel Authority of India's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SAIL
Steel Authority of India
A steel-making company, manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.
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