The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that NMDC Steel Limited (NSE:NSLNISP) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is NMDC Steel's Debt?
As you can see below, NMDC Steel had ₹53.0b of debt at September 2025, down from ₹65.0b a year prior. However, it also had ₹8.15b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹44.8b.
How Strong Is NMDC Steel's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that NMDC Steel had liabilities of ₹98.8b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹49.8b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹8.15b in cash and ₹4.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹136.4b.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹120.6b, we think shareholders really should watch NMDC Steel's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is NMDC Steel's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
See our latest analysis for NMDC Steel
In the last year NMDC Steel wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 85%, to ₹117b. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate NMDC Steel's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping ₹13b. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. It's fair to say the loss of ₹13b didn't encourage us either; we'd like to see a profit. In the meantime, we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with NMDC Steel .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NMDC Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NSLNISP
Good value with adequate balance sheet.
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