NMDC Limited

NSEI:NMDC Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹622.8b

NMDC Valuation

Is NMDC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NMDC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NMDC (₹212.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹340.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NMDC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NMDC?

Key metric: As NMDC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NMDC. This is calculated by dividing NMDC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NMDC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.2x
Earnings₹60.80b
Market Cap₹622.75b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NMDC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NMDC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.1x
SAIL Steel Authority of India
19.5x28.8%₹491.8b
JINDALSTEL Jindal Steel & Power
19x33.2%₹961.6b
JSL Jindal Stainless
24.5x29.5%₹601.1b
533758 APL Apollo Tubes
73.4x29.0%₹420.6b
NMDC NMDC
10.2x11.3%₹622.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the peer average (34.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NMDC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Metals and Mining Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PRAKASHSTL Prakash Steelage
4xn/aUS$16.96m
522165 Indsil Hydro Power and Manganese
1.6xn/aUS$16.23m
531144 El Forge
1xn/aUS$8.16m
531539 Rishabh Digha Steel And Allied Products
1.7xn/aUS$2.50m
NMDC 10.2xIndustry Avg. 26.0xNo. of Companies34PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the Indian Metals and Mining industry average (26x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NMDC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NMDC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.2x
Fair PE Ratio32.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NMDC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NMDC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹212.44
₹242.63
+14.2%
15.6%₹325.00₹180.00n/a19
Dec ’25₹230.07
₹242.63
+5.5%
15.6%₹325.00₹180.00n/a19
Nov ’25₹222.84
₹240.42
+7.9%
16.6%₹325.00₹180.00n/a19
Oct ’25₹244.53
₹238.16
-2.6%
17.6%₹325.00₹170.00n/a19
Sep ’25₹222.66
₹238.32
+7.0%
17.6%₹325.00₹170.00n/a19
Aug ’25₹242.73
₹249.95
+3.0%
18.8%₹325.00₹170.00n/a19
Jul ’25₹251.60
₹249.11
-1.0%
19.5%₹325.00₹170.00n/a19
Jun ’25₹260.15
₹246.06
-5.4%
18.3%₹301.00₹170.00n/a18
May ’25₹254.40
₹222.00
-12.7%
19.6%₹290.00₹155.00n/a18
Apr ’25₹212.60
₹223.35
+5.1%
20.3%₹290.00₹155.00n/a17
Mar ’25₹231.05
₹224.88
-2.7%
21.1%₹290.00₹155.00n/a17
Feb ’25₹225.40
₹186.17
-17.4%
20.1%₹261.00₹115.00n/a18
Jan ’25₹211.45
₹174.22
-17.6%
17.1%₹228.00₹115.00n/a18
Dec ’24₹182.05
₹167.79
-7.8%
16.6%₹200.00₹115.00₹230.0719
Nov ’24₹153.65
₹149.32
-2.8%
16.1%₹188.00₹113.00₹222.8419
Oct ’24₹147.95
₹144.65
-2.2%
15.7%₹180.00₹105.00₹244.5320
Sep ’24₹130.50
₹136.40
+4.5%
12.9%₹180.00₹105.00₹222.6620
Aug ’24₹116.85
₹132.47
+13.4%
13.4%₹180.00₹105.00₹242.7319
Jul ’24₹104.65
₹133.17
+27.2%
13.7%₹180.00₹105.00₹251.6018
Jun ’24₹106.90
₹135.67
+26.9%
12.7%₹180.00₹113.00₹260.1518
May ’24₹108.50
₹139.83
+28.9%
11.4%₹180.00₹113.00₹254.4018
Apr ’24₹111.55
₹141.22
+26.6%
10.4%₹180.00₹120.00₹212.6018
Mar ’24₹114.60
₹140.22
+22.4%
11.0%₹180.00₹120.00₹231.0518
Feb ’24₹120.95
₹133.32
+10.2%
13.2%₹163.00₹104.00₹225.4019
Jan ’24₹123.05
₹130.21
+5.8%
12.3%₹163.00₹104.00₹211.4519
Dec ’23₹119.90
₹131.47
+9.7%
12.8%₹163.00₹104.00₹182.0519

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 00:20
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NMDC Limited is covered by 46 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nitin BhasinAmbit Capital
Bhavesh ChauhanAngel Broking Private Limited
null nullAntique Stockbroking Ltd.