Stock Analysis

Nelcast's (NSE:NELCAST) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

NSEI:NELCAST
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Nelcast Limited's (NSE:NELCAST) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to ₹0.40 on 3rd of September. Although the dividend is now higher, the yield is only 0.4%, which is below the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Nelcast

Nelcast's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. However, Nelcast's earnings easily cover the dividend. As a result, a large proportion of what it earned was being reinvested back into the business.

Unless the company can turn things around, EPS could fall by 4.9% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 12%, which is definitely feasible to continue.

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NSEI:NELCAST Historic Dividend July 24th 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of ₹0.50 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of ₹0.40. This works out to be a decline of approximately 2.2% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. It's not great to see that Nelcast's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 4.9% per year over the past five years. If earnings continue declining, the company may have to make the difficult choice of reducing the dividend or even stopping it completely - the opposite of dividend growth.

Our Thoughts On Nelcast's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Nelcast's payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. To that end, Nelcast has 3 warning signs (and 2 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.