If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Although, when we looked at Nelcast (NSE:NELCAST), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Nelcast:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.07 = ₹438m ÷ (₹9.6b - ₹3.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Nelcast has an ROCE of 7.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 17%.
View our latest analysis for Nelcast
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Nelcast, check out these free graphs here.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Nelcast, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 7.0% from 14% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
What We Can Learn From Nelcast's ROCE
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Nelcast. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 30% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.
One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Nelcast (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NELCAST
Nelcast
Manufactures and sells ductile and grey iron castings in India and internationally.
Proven track record with mediocre balance sheet.