David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that MSP Steel & Power Limited (NSE:MSPL) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for MSP Steel & Power
What Is MSP Steel & Power's Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that MSP Steel & Power had ₹8.01b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹271.6m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹7.74b.
A Look At MSP Steel & Power's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that MSP Steel & Power had liabilities of ₹5.74b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹5.03b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹271.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹835.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹9.67b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹4.05b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, MSP Steel & Power would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
MSP Steel & Power shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.065 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, MSP Steel & Power's EBIT was down 95% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is MSP Steel & Power's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, MSP Steel & Power actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
On the face of it, MSP Steel & Power's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think MSP Steel & Power has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - MSP Steel & Power has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MSPL
MSP Steel & Power
Manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.