Stock Analysis

MSP Steel & Power (NSE:MSPL) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:MSPL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that MSP Steel & Power Limited (NSE:MSPL) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for MSP Steel & Power

How Much Debt Does MSP Steel & Power Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 MSP Steel & Power had debt of ₹8.19b, up from ₹7.39b in one year. However, it also had ₹684.1m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹7.51b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MSPL Debt to Equity History March 29th 2023

A Look At MSP Steel & Power's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, MSP Steel & Power had liabilities of ₹5.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹5.19b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹684.1m in cash and ₹947.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹8.73b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹2.91b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, MSP Steel & Power would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.073 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 12.7 hit our confidence in MSP Steel & Power like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, MSP Steel & Power's EBIT was down 95% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is MSP Steel & Power's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, MSP Steel & Power actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, MSP Steel & Power's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like MSP Steel & Power has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - MSP Steel & Power has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:MSPL

MSP Steel & Power

Manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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