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MMP Industries Limited's (NSE:MMP) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
MMP Industries Limited (NSE:MMP) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 89% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, MMP Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 27.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for MMP Industries as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for MMP Industries
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as MMP Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 42% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 56% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that MMP Industries' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From MMP Industries' P/E?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift MMP Industries' P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that MMP Industries maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with MMP Industries, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MMP
MMP Industries
Manufactures, sells, distributes, and trades aluminium products in India.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.