Some Confidence Is Lacking In Gujarat Raffia Industries Limited's (NSE:GUJRAFFIA) P/E

When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Gujarat Raffia Industries Limited (NSE:GUJRAFFIA) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 39x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Gujarat Raffia Industries' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Gujarat Raffia Industries

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gujarat Raffia Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Gujarat Raffia Industries' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 39%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 83% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the market is similarly expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Gujarat Raffia Industries is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Gujarat Raffia Industries currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Gujarat Raffia Industries (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Gujarat Raffia Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.