Stock Analysis

Is It Worth Considering GOCL Corporation Limited (NSE:GOCLCORP) For Its Upcoming Dividend?

NSEI:GOCLCORP
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Readers hoping to buy GOCL Corporation Limited (NSE:GOCLCORP) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, GOCL investors that purchase the stock on or after the 17th of September will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of October.

The company's next dividend payment will be ₹4.00 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of ₹4.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, GOCL stock has a trailing yield of around 0.9% on the current share price of ₹449.35. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether GOCL's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

View our latest analysis for GOCL

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. GOCL paid out a comfortable 41% of its profit last year. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether GOCL generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 203% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. Our definition of free cash flow excludes cash generated from asset sales, so since GOCL is paying out such a high percentage of its cash flow, it might be worth seeing if it sold assets or had similar events that might have led to such a high dividend payment.

GOCL paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were GOCL to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see how much of its profit GOCL paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
NSEI:GOCLCORP Historic Dividend September 13th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Stocks in companies that generate sustainable earnings growth often make the best dividend prospects, as it is easier to lift the dividend when earnings are rising. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. For this reason, we're glad to see GOCL's earnings per share have risen 12% per annum over the last five years. Earnings have been growing at a decent rate, but we're concerned dividend payments consumed most of the company's cash flow over the past year.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. GOCL's dividend payments per share have declined at 7.6% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's unusual to see earnings per share increasing at the same time as dividends per share have been in decline. We'd hope it's because the company is reinvesting heavily in its business, but it could also suggest business is lumpy.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid GOCL? We're glad to see the company has been improving its earnings per share while also paying out a low percentage of income. However, it's not great to see it paying out what we see as an uncomfortably high percentage of its cash flow. Overall we're not hugely bearish on the stock, but there are likely better dividend investments out there.

While it's tempting to invest in GOCL for the dividends alone, you should always be mindful of the risks involved. We've identified 2 warning signs with GOCL (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.