GHCL Limited's (NSE:GHCL) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.5x GHCL Limited (NSE:GHCL) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 60x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
GHCL could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for GHCL
Keen to find out how analysts think GHCL's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as GHCL's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 206% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 8.6% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25%.
With this information, we are not surprised that GHCL is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that GHCL maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for GHCL (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GHCL
GHCL
Manufactures and sells inorganic chemicals in India and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.