Stock Analysis

Is Ester Industries (NSE:ESTER) A Risky Investment?

NSEI:ESTER
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ester Industries Limited (NSE:ESTER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Ester Industries

What Is Ester Industries's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ester Industries had ₹967.5m of debt in September 2020, down from ₹1.66b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹370.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹596.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:ESTER Debt to Equity History March 4th 2021

How Healthy Is Ester Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ester Industries had liabilities of ₹1.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹1.33b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹370.6m and ₹1.22b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹975.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Ester Industries has a market capitalization of ₹9.57b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ester Industries's net debt is only 0.26 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Ester Industries has boosted its EBIT by 41%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Ester Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Ester Industries generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Ester Industries's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. We think Ester Industries is no more beholden to its lenders, than the birds are to birdwatchers. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ester Industries you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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