Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Limited (NSE:BHAGCHEM) After Shares Rise 32%

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NSEI:BHAGCHEM

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Limited (NSE:BHAGCHEM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 185% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10x, considering almost half the companies in India's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 1.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries

NSEI:BHAGCHEM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024

How Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 18% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Shares in Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries (1 is potentially serious) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bhagiradha Chemicals & Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.