Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Agarwal Industrial (NSE:AGARIND) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:AGARIND
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited (NSE:AGARIND) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Agarwal Industrial

What Is Agarwal Industrial's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Agarwal Industrial had ₹1.58b of debt in March 2023, down from ₹1.71b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹591.9m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹988.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AGARIND Debt to Equity History August 22nd 2023

A Look At Agarwal Industrial's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Agarwal Industrial had liabilities of ₹2.58b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹874.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹591.9m in cash and ₹1.95b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹918.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Agarwal Industrial shares are worth a total of ₹12.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 0.72 times EBITDA, Agarwal Industrial is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.2 times the interest expense over the last year. Also positive, Agarwal Industrial grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Agarwal Industrial will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Agarwal Industrial basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

The good news is that Agarwal Industrial's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Agarwal Industrial can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Agarwal Industrial is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.