NOCIL Valuation

Is 500730 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 500730 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
₹349.62
Fair Value
36.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 500730 (₹223.65) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹349.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 500730 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 500730?

Key metric: As 500730 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 500730. This is calculated by dividing 500730's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 500730's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.2x
Earnings₹1.24b
Market Cap₹37.28b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 500730's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 500730 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
524051 Polyplex
24.3xn/a₹37.5b
500201 India Glycols
19.6xn/a₹41.1b
506222 Styrenix Performance Materials
19.7xn/a₹45.1b
500227 Jindal Poly Films
15.4xn/a₹37.8b
500730 NOCIL
30.2x26.8%₹37.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 500730 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 500730's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ZUARI Zuari Agro Chemicals
4xn/aUS$100.94m
NAGAFERT Nagarjuna Fertilizers and Chemicals
0.2xn/aUS$57.76m
UNIVPHOTO Universus Photo Imagings
2.6xn/aUS$25.15m
526773 Pressure Sensitive Systems (India)
1.9xn/aUS$6.60m
500730 30.2xIndustry Avg. 27.8xNo. of Companies41PE020406080100+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 500730 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the Indian Chemicals industry average (28.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 500730's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

500730 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.2x
Fair PE Ratio27.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 500730 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 500730 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹223.65
₹270.00
+20.7%
17.0%₹376.00₹214.00n/a9
Feb ’26₹233.85
₹268.11
+14.7%
18.1%₹376.00₹197.00n/a9
Jan ’26₹252.00
₹273.44
+8.5%
17.2%₹376.00₹197.00n/a9
Dec ’25₹263.75
₹273.44
+3.7%
17.2%₹376.00₹197.00n/a9
Nov ’25₹286.80
₹277.89
-3.1%
16.4%₹376.00₹197.00n/a9
Oct ’25₹291.70
₹274.00
-6.1%
15.4%₹345.00₹194.00n/a9
Sep ’25₹282.70
₹271.44
-4.0%
16.5%₹345.00₹194.00n/a9
Aug ’25₹324.20
₹270.44
-16.6%
15.6%₹354.00₹213.00n/a9
Jul ’25₹282.95
₹265.56
-6.1%
16.8%₹354.00₹213.00n/a9
Jun ’25₹252.75
₹269.56
+6.6%
19.6%₹389.00₹213.00n/a9
May ’25₹269.40
₹274.11
+1.7%
17.8%₹389.00₹234.00n/a9
Apr ’25₹258.85
₹268.13
+3.6%
18.0%₹389.00₹234.00n/a8
Mar ’25₹263.25
₹268.13
+1.9%
18.0%₹389.00₹234.00n/a8
Feb ’25₹266.35
₹249.14
-6.5%
23.9%₹392.00₹208.00₹233.857
Jan ’25₹273.85
₹241.75
-11.7%
24.3%₹392.00₹205.00₹252.008
Dec ’24₹246.45
₹220.29
-10.6%
7.1%₹250.00₹205.00₹263.757
Nov ’24₹216.75
₹237.67
+9.7%
11.4%₹285.00₹205.00₹286.806
Oct ’24₹227.90
₹234.67
+3.0%
9.3%₹265.00₹205.00₹291.706
Sep ’24₹220.00
₹234.67
+6.7%
9.3%₹265.00₹205.00₹282.706
Aug ’24₹227.90
₹233.80
+2.6%
10.5%₹265.00₹206.00₹324.205
Jul ’24₹220.85
₹224.75
+1.8%
8.6%₹255.00₹206.00₹282.954
Jun ’24₹225.30
₹221.00
-1.9%
10.7%₹255.00₹191.00₹252.754
May ’24₹212.65
₹242.75
+14.2%
14.5%₹290.00₹191.00₹269.404
Apr ’24₹206.30
₹240.25
+16.5%
13.3%₹280.00₹191.00₹258.854
Mar ’24₹221.70
₹272.67
+23.0%
14.8%₹348.00₹220.00₹263.256
Feb ’24₹203.85
₹291.17
+42.8%
13.5%₹348.00₹220.00₹266.356
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 9 Analysts
₹268.56
Fair Value
16.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
9
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/08 20:32
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NOCIL Limited is covered by 16 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nav BhardwajAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited
null nullAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited
Bhawana IsraniAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited