Stock Analysis

Here's Why Vishwaraj Sugar Industries (NSE:VISHWARAJ) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

NSEI:VISHWARAJ
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Vishwaraj Sugar Industries Limited (NSE:VISHWARAJ) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Vishwaraj Sugar Industries

What Is Vishwaraj Sugar Industries's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Vishwaraj Sugar Industries had debt of ₹2.95b, up from ₹2.68b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VISHWARAJ Debt to Equity History August 25th 2023

How Healthy Is Vishwaraj Sugar Industries' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Vishwaraj Sugar Industries had liabilities of ₹2.33b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.34b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹58.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹394.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹3.21b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of ₹3.40b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Vishwaraj Sugar Industries's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.8, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, Vishwaraj Sugar Industries saw its EBIT tank 39% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Vishwaraj Sugar Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Vishwaraj Sugar Industries produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 59% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

To be frank both Vishwaraj Sugar Industries's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Vishwaraj Sugar Industries to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Vishwaraj Sugar Industries (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.