Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Vadilal Industries Limited's (NSE:VADILALIND) Muted Earnings Despite A 25% Share Price Rise

NSEI:VADILALIND
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Despite an already strong run, Vadilal Industries Limited (NSE:VADILALIND) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 108% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Vadilal Industries' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 57x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Vadilal Industries has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Vadilal Industries

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:VADILALIND Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 5th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Vadilal Industries' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Vadilal Industries?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Vadilal Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 65% last year. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Vadilal Industries' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Vadilal Industries' P/E?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Vadilal Industries' P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Vadilal Industries maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Vadilal Industries with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vadilal Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.