Ugar Sugar Works Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of UGARSUGAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

UGARSUGAR (₹75.47) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (₹33.63)

Is UGARSUGAR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UGARSUGAR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UGARSUGAR (₹75.47) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹33.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UGARSUGAR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UGARSUGAR?

Key metric: As UGARSUGAR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for UGARSUGAR. This is calculated by dividing UGARSUGAR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is UGARSUGAR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	0.7x
Sales	₹12.85b
Market Cap	₹8.50b

UGARSUGAR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	39.9x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does UGARSUGAR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for UGARSUGAR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	0.7x
MAGADSUGAR Magadh Sugar & Energy	0.9x	n/a	₹10.2b
ZUARIIND Zuari Industries	1.1x	n/a	₹9.7b
DBOL Dhampur Bio Organics	0.5x	n/a	₹8.5b
519421 KSE	0.5x	n/a	₹7.7b
UGARSUGAR Ugar Sugar Works	0.7x	n/a	₹8.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: UGARSUGAR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does UGARSUGAR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Food Industry?

18 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
GOKULAGRO Gokul Agro Resources	0.3x	n/a	US$577.35m
GOKUL Gokul Refoils & Solvent	0.2x	n/a	US$62.82m
523371 Mawana Sugars	0.3x	n/a	US$47.73m
MGEL Mangalam Global Enterprise	0.2x	n/a	US$41.41m

18 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: UGARSUGAR is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the Indian Food industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UGARSUGAR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UGARSUGAR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	0.7x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate UGARSUGAR's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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