Stock Analysis

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over United Breweries Limited's (NSE:UBL) P/S Ratio

NSEI:UBL
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United Breweries Limited's (NSE:UBL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.1x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Beverage industry in India have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for United Breweries

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:UBL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

What Does United Breweries' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, United Breweries has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on United Breweries.

How Is United Breweries' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, United Breweries would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 76% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that United Breweries' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On United Breweries' P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've concluded that United Breweries currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for United Breweries that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether United Breweries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.