Stock Analysis

Tata Consumer Products Limited's (NSE:TATACONSUM) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

NSEI:TATACONSUM
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Tata Consumer Products' (NSE:TATACONSUM) stock is up by a considerable 20% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Tata Consumer Products' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Tata Consumer Products

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tata Consumer Products is:

4.8% = ₹7.3b ÷ ₹152b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every ₹1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn ₹0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Tata Consumer Products' Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

It is hard to argue that Tata Consumer Products' ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 11%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. In spite of this, Tata Consumer Products was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 24% in the last five years. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Tata Consumer Products' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 18%.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:TATACONSUM Past Earnings Growth February 9th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Tata Consumer Products fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Tata Consumer Products Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Tata Consumer Products has a three-year median payout ratio of 39% (where it is retaining 61% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Tata Consumer Products is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Additionally, Tata Consumer Products has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 39%. Still, forecasts suggest that Tata Consumer Products' future ROE will rise to 8.4% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Tata Consumer Products has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. That being so, a study of the latest analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to see a slowdown in its future earnings growth. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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