Narmada Agrobase Limited's (NSE:NARMADA) 25% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/ERatio
The Narmada Agrobase Limited (NSE:NARMADA) share price has softened a substantial 25% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The last month has meant the stock is now only up 8.8% during the last year.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Narmada Agrobase may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 57.8x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 28x and even P/E's lower than 15x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
For example, consider that Narmada Agrobase's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for Narmada Agrobase
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Narmada Agrobase, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Narmada Agrobase's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 28% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Narmada Agrobase's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Narmada Agrobase's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Narmada Agrobase currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 6 warning signs for Narmada Agrobase you should be aware of, and 3 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:NARMADA
Narmada Agrobase
Manufactures and sells cotton seeds and cattle feeds in India.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.