Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Gokul Refoils & Solvent Limited (NSE:GOKUL) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Gokul Refoils & Solvent
How Much Debt Does Gokul Refoils & Solvent Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Gokul Refoils & Solvent had ₹4.25b of debt, an increase on ₹3.67b, over one year. However, it does have ₹1.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹2.70b.
How Strong Is Gokul Refoils & Solvent's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Gokul Refoils & Solvent had liabilities of ₹4.89b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹266.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.55b as well as receivables valued at ₹1.43b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹2.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Gokul Refoils & Solvent is worth ₹3.71b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Gokul Refoils & Solvent shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.6 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Fortunately, Gokul Refoils & Solvent grew its EBIT by 7.8% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Gokul Refoils & Solvent's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Gokul Refoils & Solvent's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
On the face of it, Gokul Refoils & Solvent's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Gokul Refoils & Solvent's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Gokul Refoils & Solvent is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GOKUL
Gokul Refoils & Solvent
Engages in the seed processing, solvent extraction, and refining edible and non-edible industrial oils in India and internationally.
Moderate with acceptable track record.