The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Gokul Refoils & Solvent Limited (NSE:GOKUL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Gokul Refoils & Solvent
What Is Gokul Refoils & Solvent's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Gokul Refoils & Solvent had debt of ₹3.67b, up from ₹2.83b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹874.8m, its net debt is less, at about ₹2.80b.
How Strong Is Gokul Refoils & Solvent's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Gokul Refoils & Solvent had liabilities of ₹5.33b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹33.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹874.8m as well as receivables valued at ₹1.67b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹2.82b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹2.93b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Gokul Refoils & Solvent's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Gokul Refoils & Solvent shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.8 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even more troubling is the fact that Gokul Refoils & Solvent actually let its EBIT decrease by 6.9% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Gokul Refoils & Solvent will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Gokul Refoils & Solvent burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Gokul Refoils & Solvent's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Gokul Refoils & Solvent has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Gokul Refoils & Solvent (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:GOKUL
Gokul Refoils & Solvent
Engages in the seed processing, solvent extraction, and refining edible and non-edible industrial oils in India and internationally.
Slight with acceptable track record.