A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Aurangabad Distillery Limited's (NSE:AURDIS) 37% Share Price Climb
Despite an already strong run, Aurangabad Distillery Limited (NSE:AURDIS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 78%.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 35x, you may still consider Aurangabad Distillery as a highly attractive investment with its 16.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Aurangabad Distillery has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Aurangabad Distillery
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Aurangabad Distillery will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Aurangabad Distillery's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 25% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 586% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it odd that Aurangabad Distillery is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Aurangabad Distillery's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Aurangabad Distillery currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Aurangabad Distillery (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:AURDIS
Aurangabad Distillery
Engages in the manufacture and sale of rectified spirits, denatured spirits, and extra neutral alcohols in India.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.