Stock Analysis
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Aspinwall and Company Limited (NSE:ASPINWALL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Aspinwall
What Is Aspinwall's Debt?
As you can see below, Aspinwall had ₹401.0m of debt at September 2024, down from ₹605.3m a year prior. But it also has ₹409.2m in cash to offset that, meaning it has ₹8.20m net cash.
A Look At Aspinwall's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Aspinwall had liabilities of ₹790.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹58.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹409.2m in cash and ₹297.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹141.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Aspinwall has a market capitalization of ₹1.96b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Aspinwall also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Even more impressive was the fact that Aspinwall grew its EBIT by 104% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aspinwall will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Aspinwall has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Aspinwall actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Aspinwall has ₹8.20m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 132% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in ₹414m. So is Aspinwall's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Aspinwall you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ASPINWALL
Aspinwall
A multi-line business organization, engages in coffee processing and trading, rubber plantations, natural fiber, and logistics businesses in India, the Americas, Europe, and internationally.