Stock Analysis

How Much Did Gujarat Mineral Development's(NSE:GMDCLTD) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?

NSEI:GMDCLTD
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Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Limited (NSE:GMDCLTD) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 34% in the last quarter. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a tragic 62% in the last three years. So it's good to see it climbing back up. After all, could be that the fall was overdone.

See our latest analysis for Gujarat Mineral Development

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the three years that the share price fell, Gujarat Mineral Development's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 19% each year. The share price decline of 28% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 10.48.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:GMDCLTD Earnings Per Share Growth February 11th 2021

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Gujarat Mineral Development's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Gujarat Mineral Development the TSR over the last 3 years was -58%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 25% in the last year, Gujarat Mineral Development shareholders lost 1.2% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Gujarat Mineral Development better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Gujarat Mineral Development (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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