Stock Analysis

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (NSE:CHENNPETRO) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

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NSEI:CHENNPETRO

Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited's (NSE:CHENNPETRO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been advantageous for Chennai Petroleum as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Chennai Petroleum

NSEI:CHENNPETRO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 30th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Chennai Petroleum.

How Is Chennai Petroleum's Growth Trending?

Chennai Petroleum's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 47% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 5,685% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 13% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 26% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Chennai Petroleum's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Chennai Petroleum maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Chennai Petroleum has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.