Coal India Valuation

Is 533278 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 533278 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 533278 (₹412.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₹484.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 533278 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 533278?

Key metric: As 533278 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 533278. This is calculated by dividing 533278's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 533278's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7x
Earnings₹360.74b
Market Cap₹2.54t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 533278's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 533278 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.1x
GMDCLTD Gujarat Mineral Development
16.7x7.8%₹106.5b
ONGC Oil and Natural Gas
7.6x10.3%₹3.1t
IOC Indian Oil
10.5x18.3%₹1.8t
BPCL Bharat Petroleum
9.5x3.5%₹1.2t
533278 Coal India
7x5.7%₹2.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 533278 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the peer average (11.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 533278's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Oil and Gas Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
533704 Essar Shipping
1.6xn/aUS$93.14m
No more companies available in this PE range
533278 7.0xIndustry Avg. 21.0xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 533278 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the Indian Oil and Gas industry average (21.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 533278's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

533278 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7x
Fair PE Ratio14.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 533278 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 533278 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹412.20
₹523.96
+27.1%
18.0%₹614.00₹180.00n/a24
Nov ’25₹454.40
₹524.58
+15.4%
18.0%₹614.00₹180.00n/a24
Oct ’25₹508.40
₹538.83
+6.0%
19.0%₹650.00₹180.00n/a24
Sep ’25₹525.00
₹534.04
+1.7%
19.2%₹650.00₹180.00n/a25
Aug ’25₹540.30
₹519.42
-3.9%
19.8%₹640.00₹180.00n/a24
Jul ’25₹474.80
₹477.29
+0.5%
19.1%₹588.00₹180.00n/a24
Jun ’25₹491.25
₹472.08
-3.9%
18.6%₹577.00₹180.00n/a24
May ’25₹454.30
₹464.96
+2.3%
18.9%₹561.00₹180.00n/a24
Apr ’25₹442.00
₹460.39
+4.2%
19.0%₹561.00₹180.00n/a23
Mar ’25₹446.35
₹438.14
-1.8%
22.5%₹561.00₹180.00n/a21
Feb ’25₹406.70
₹374.86
-7.8%
20.7%₹500.00₹180.00n/a21
Jan ’25₹381.80
₹350.52
-8.2%
18.0%₹450.00₹180.00n/a21
Dec ’24₹346.55
₹337.90
-2.5%
15.8%₹404.00₹180.00n/a21
Nov ’24₹306.70
₹300.25
-2.1%
18.1%₹395.00₹180.00₹454.4020
Oct ’24₹295.15
₹271.55
-8.0%
16.7%₹361.00₹159.00₹508.4020
Sep ’24₹236.85
₹256.38
+8.2%
17.0%₹361.00₹159.00₹525.0021
Aug ’24₹240.35
₹256.95
+6.9%
17.3%₹361.00₹159.00₹540.3021
Jul ’24₹230.85
₹255.80
+10.8%
17.6%₹361.00₹159.00₹474.8020
Jun ’24₹230.55
₹256.00
+11.0%
17.7%₹365.00₹159.00₹491.2520
May ’24₹233.10
₹246.70
+5.8%
14.2%₹295.00₹178.00₹454.3020
Apr ’24₹213.65
₹248.31
+16.2%
14.5%₹295.00₹178.00₹442.0020
Mar ’24₹218.60
₹252.24
+15.4%
13.5%₹295.00₹178.00₹446.3522
Feb ’24₹220.30
₹255.05
+15.8%
13.0%₹295.00₹178.00₹406.7022
Jan ’24₹225.15
₹257.10
+14.2%
15.8%₹325.00₹165.00₹381.8022
Dec ’23₹226.00
₹253.78
+12.3%
17.5%₹325.00₹165.00₹346.5522
Nov ’23₹245.60
₹244.10
-0.6%
16.9%₹306.00₹149.00₹306.7022

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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