Stock Analysis

Even With A 25% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding One97 Communications Limited's (NSE:PAYTM) Performance Completely

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NSEI:PAYTM

Despite an already strong run, One97 Communications Limited (NSE:PAYTM) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.9% isn't as attractive.

Although its price has surged higher, One97 Communications' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Diversified Financial industry in India, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 9.9x and even P/S above 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for One97 Communications

NSEI:PAYTM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 28th 2024

What Does One97 Communications' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

One97 Communications hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think One97 Communications' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is One97 Communications' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as One97 Communications' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 132% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% each year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 12% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that One97 Communications is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On One97 Communications' P/S

Despite One97 Communications' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

One97 Communications' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - One97 Communications has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.