Stock Analysis

Monarch Networth Capital Limited's (NSE:MONARCH) Shares Leap 35% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

NSEI:MONARCH
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Despite an already strong run, Monarch Networth Capital Limited (NSE:MONARCH) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 35% in the last thirty days. The annual gain comes to 174% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, Monarch Networth Capital's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 35x and even P/E's above 65x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Monarch Networth Capital as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Monarch Networth Capital

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:MONARCH Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Monarch Networth Capital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Monarch Networth Capital?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Monarch Networth Capital's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 207% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 197% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Monarch Networth Capital's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, Monarch Networth Capital's P/E still trails the rest of the market significantly. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Monarch Networth Capital revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Monarch Networth Capital you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.