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Bajaj Finance Limited's (NSE:BAJFINANCE) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Bajaj Finance Limited (NSE:BAJFINANCE) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 34.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Bajaj Finance as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Bajaj Finance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 32% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 183% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Bajaj Finance is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Bajaj Finance currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Bajaj Finance (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bajaj Finance might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BAJFINANCE
Bajaj Finance
Operates as a deposit-taking non-banking financial company in India.
Exceptional growth potential average dividend payer.