Stock Analysis

Here's Why Juniper Hotels (NSE:JUNIPER) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:JUNIPER
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Juniper Hotels Limited (NSE:JUNIPER) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Juniper Hotels

How Much Debt Does Juniper Hotels Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Juniper Hotels had debt of ₹8.38b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from ₹20.5b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹4.26b, its net debt is less, at about ₹4.12b.

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NSEI:JUNIPER Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

How Healthy Is Juniper Hotels' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Juniper Hotels had liabilities of ₹7.96b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹8.27b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹4.26b in cash and ₹595.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹11.4b.

Of course, Juniper Hotels has a market capitalization of ₹101.2b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Given net debt is only 1.3 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Juniper Hotels's EBIT has low interest coverage of 0.83 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. We saw Juniper Hotels grow its EBIT by 8.6% in the last twelve months. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Juniper Hotels's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Juniper Hotels actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Juniper Hotels's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its interest cover has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Juniper Hotels can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Juniper Hotels's earnings per share history for free.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.