Stock Analysis

Further Upside For Sakuma Exports Limited (NSE:SAKUMA) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 29% Bounce

NSEI:SAKUMA
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Despite an already strong run, Sakuma Exports Limited (NSE:SAKUMA) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 124% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider Sakuma Exports as an attractive investment with its 30.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Sakuma Exports as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Sakuma Exports

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SAKUMA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 10th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sakuma Exports will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Growth For Sakuma Exports?

Sakuma Exports' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 41% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 153% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that Sakuma Exports is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Sakuma Exports' P/E close to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Sakuma Exports currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Sakuma Exports (at least 3 which are concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sakuma Exports' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.