Stock Analysis

Here's Why Vishal Fabrics (NSE:VISHAL) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NSEI:VISHAL
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Vishal Fabrics Limited (NSE:VISHAL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Vishal Fabrics

What Is Vishal Fabrics's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Vishal Fabrics had ₹3.81b of debt in September 2021, down from ₹4.15b, one year before. However, it does have ₹217.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹3.59b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VISHAL Debt to Equity History March 25th 2022

How Strong Is Vishal Fabrics' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Vishal Fabrics had liabilities of ₹2.75b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹2.32b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹217.2m in cash and ₹3.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.24b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Vishal Fabrics has a market capitalization of ₹6.26b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Vishal Fabrics's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.4 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.1 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Pleasingly, Vishal Fabrics is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 149% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Vishal Fabrics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Vishal Fabrics's free cash flow amounted to 21% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On our analysis Vishal Fabrics's EBIT growth rate should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to convert EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think Vishal Fabrics is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Vishal Fabrics has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.