If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This reveals that the company isn't compounding shareholder wealth because returns are falling and its net asset base is shrinking. So after glancing at the trends within T.T (NSE:TTL), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on T.T is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.094 = ₹210m ÷ (₹3.8b - ₹1.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, T.T has an ROCE of 9.4%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 9.4%, it's still a low return by itself.
Check out our latest analysis for T.T
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for T.T's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of T.T, check out these free graphs here.
What Does the ROCE Trend For T.T Tell Us?
There is reason to be cautious about T.T, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 18% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect T.T to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that T.T has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 41%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
In Conclusion...
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. And, the stock has remained flat over the last five years, so investors don't seem too impressed either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
If you'd like to know more about T.T, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
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About NSEI:TTL
Mediocre balance sheet low.