Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Trident Limited (NSE:TRIDENT) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Trident Carry?
As you can see below, Trident had ₹14.4b of debt at March 2023, down from ₹16.0b a year prior. However, it also had ₹3.53b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹10.9b.
A Look At Trident's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Trident had liabilities of ₹14.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹11.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹3.53b as well as receivables valued at ₹3.76b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹19.1b.
Of course, Trident has a market capitalization of ₹197.9b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With net debt sitting at just 1.2 times EBITDA, Trident is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 7.9 times, which is more than adequate. It is just as well that Trident's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 45% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Trident can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Trident produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Trident's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we thought its interest cover was a positive. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Trident's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Trident , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:TRIDENT
Trident
Engages in the manufactures, trades, and sales of textiles, paper and chemicals in India, the United States, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.