Liberty Shoes Ltd.'s (NSE:LIBERTSHOE) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Liberty Shoes Ltd. (NSE:LIBERTSHOE) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 114% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, Liberty Shoes' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 69x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Earnings have risen firmly for Liberty Shoes recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Liberty Shoes

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Liberty Shoes' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Liberty Shoes' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Liberty Shoes' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.5% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 63% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Liberty Shoes is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has got Liberty Shoes' P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Liberty Shoes revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Liberty Shoes you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.