Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To K.P.R. Mill Limited's (NSE:KPRMILL) Price

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NSEI:KPRMILL

It's not a stretch to say that K.P.R. Mill Limited's (NSE:KPRMILL) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in India, where the median P/E ratio is around 30x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

K.P.R. Mill hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for K.P.R. Mill

NSEI:KPRMILL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on K.P.R. Mill.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, K.P.R. Mill would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 1.0% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 57% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that K.P.R. Mill's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On K.P.R. Mill's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of K.P.R. Mill's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for K.P.R. Mill that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if K.P.R. Mill might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.