Stock Analysis

Does Ginni Filaments (NSE:GINNIFILA) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:GINNIFILA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Ginni Filaments Limited (NSE:GINNIFILA) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Ginni Filaments

What Is Ginni Filaments's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Ginni Filaments had ₹2.56b of debt in March 2023, down from ₹3.27b, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GINNIFILA Debt to Equity History August 17th 2023

How Healthy Is Ginni Filaments' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ginni Filaments had liabilities of ₹2.52b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹42.8m in cash and ₹1.04b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹2.50b.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹2.24b, we think shareholders really should watch Ginni Filaments's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ginni Filaments's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Ginni Filaments had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 21%, to ₹9.0b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While Ginni Filaments's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at ₹221m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of ₹253m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ginni Filaments .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ginni Filaments is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.