Stock Analysis

We Think Filatex India (NSE:FILATEX) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:FILATEX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Filatex India Limited (NSE:FILATEX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Filatex India

What Is Filatex India's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Filatex India had ₹3.04b of debt at March 2023, down from ₹3.58b a year prior. However, it does have ₹960.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹2.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:FILATEX Debt to Equity History August 25th 2023

How Healthy Is Filatex India's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Filatex India had liabilities of ₹5.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹4.32b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹960.6m and ₹1.33b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹7.85b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Filatex India has a market capitalization of ₹19.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Given net debt is only 1.0 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Filatex India's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.2 times. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Filatex India's EBIT was down 70% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Filatex India's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Filatex India produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Both Filatex India's EBIT growth rate and its interest cover were discouraging. At least its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow gives us reason to be optimistic. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Filatex India is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Filatex India is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Filatex India is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.